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Modeling and Managing Interdependent Complex Systems of Systems - Yacov Y. Haimes 2018 PDF Wiley-IEEE Press BOOKS SCIENCE AND STUDY
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Modeling and Managing Interdependent Complex Systems of Systems
Author: Yacov Y. Haimes
Year: 2018
Pages: 816
Format: PDF
File size: 10 MB
Language: ENG



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The book provides a comprehensive overview of the theory, methodology, and development of modeling systems of systems, including their properties, behaviors, and dynamics. It also explores the challenges and opportunities of modeling and managing these systems, including their potential risks and vulnerabilities. The book begins by discussing the importance of understanding the process of technology evolution and how it has shaped our world and society today. It then delves into the concept of personal paradigms and how they can be used to perceive the technological process of developing modern knowledge as the basis for the survival of humanity and the unification of people in a warring state. The author argues that personal paradigms are essential for understanding the complexity of interconnected and interdependent systems of systems and for developing effective strategies for managing them. The book then explores the various approaches to modeling and managing interdependent complex systems of systems, including the use of system dynamics, network analysis, and agent-based modeling. It also discusses the challenges of modeling and managing these systems, such as dealing with nonlinearity, uncertainty, and feedback loops. The author emphasizes the need for an integrated approach that considers the social, economic, and environmental dimensions of these systems. The book concludes by highlighting the importance of developing a personal paradigm for understanding the technological process of developing modern knowledge and its impact on society.
В книге представлен всесторонний обзор теории, методологии и развития систем моделирования систем, включая их свойства, поведение и динамику. Также рассматриваются проблемы и возможности моделирования и управления этими системами, включая их потенциальные риски и уязвимости. Книга начинается с обсуждения важности понимания процесса эволюции технологий и того, как он сформировал наш мир и общество сегодня. Затем он углубляется в понятие личностных парадигм и в то, как их можно использовать для восприятия технологического процесса развития современного знания как основы выживания человечества и объединения людей в воюющем государстве. Автор утверждает, что личные парадигмы необходимы для понимания сложности взаимосвязанных и взаимозависимых систем систем и для разработки эффективных стратегий управления ими. Затем в книге рассматриваются различные подходы к моделированию и управлению взаимозависимыми сложными системами систем, включая использование системной динамики, сетевого анализа и моделирования на основе агентов. В нем также обсуждаются проблемы моделирования и управления этими системами, такие как работа с нелинейностью, неопределенностью и петлями обратной связи. Автор подчеркивает необходимость комплексного подхода, учитывающего социальные, экономические и экологические аспекты этих систем. В заключение книги подчеркивается важность разработки личностной парадигмы для понимания технологического процесса развития современного знания и его влияния на общество.
livre présente un aperçu complet de la théorie, de la méthodologie et du développement des systèmes de modélisation des systèmes, y compris leurs propriétés, leur comportement et leur dynamique. s défis et les possibilités de modélisation et de gestion de ces systèmes, y compris leurs risques et vulnérabilités potentiels, sont également examinés. livre commence par discuter de l'importance de comprendre le processus d'évolution de la technologie et comment elle a façonné notre monde et notre société d'aujourd'hui. Il se penche ensuite sur la notion de paradigmes personnels et sur la façon dont ils peuvent être utilisés pour percevoir le processus technologique du développement de la connaissance moderne comme base de la survie de l'humanité et de l'unification des gens dans un État en guerre. L'auteur affirme que des paradigmes personnels sont nécessaires pour comprendre la complexité des systèmes interconnectés et interdépendants et pour élaborer des stratégies efficaces de gestion. livre examine ensuite différentes approches de la modélisation et de la gestion des systèmes complexes interdépendants, y compris l'utilisation de la dynamique système, l'analyse de réseau et la modélisation basée sur les agents. Il traite également des problèmes de modélisation et de gestion de ces systèmes, tels que la non-linéarité, l'incertitude et les boucles de rétroaction. L'auteur souligne la nécessité d'une approche intégrée qui tienne compte des aspects sociaux, économiques et environnementaux de ces systèmes. livre conclut en soulignant l'importance de développer un paradigme personnel pour comprendre le processus technologique du développement de la connaissance moderne et son impact sur la société.
libro ofrece una visión general completa de la teoría, metodología y desarrollo de los sistemas de simulación de sistemas, incluyendo sus propiedades, comportamiento y dinámica. También se examinan los retos y las posibilidades de modelar y gestionar estos sistemas, incluidos sus posibles riesgos y vulnerabilidades. libro comienza discutiendo la importancia de entender el proceso de evolución de la tecnología y cómo ha moldeado nuestro mundo y sociedad hoy. Luego se profundiza en la noción de paradigmas personales y en cómo pueden ser utilizados para percibir el proceso tecnológico del desarrollo del conocimiento moderno como base para la supervivencia de la humanidad y la unión de las personas en un estado en guerra. autor sostiene que los paradigmas personales son necesarios para comprender la complejidad de los sistemas interconectados e interdependientes de los sistemas y para desarrollar estrategias eficaces de gestión de los mismos. A continuación, el libro examina diferentes enfoques para modelar y administrar sistemas complejos de sistemas interdependientes, incluyendo el uso de dinámicas de sistemas, análisis de redes y simulaciones basadas en agentes. También analiza los problemas de modelado y gestión de estos sistemas, como el trabajo con la no linealidad, la incertidumbre y los bucles de retroalimentación. autor subraya la necesidad de un enfoque integrado que tenga en cuenta los aspectos sociales, económicos y ambientales de estos sistemas. libro concluye destacando la importancia de desarrollar un paradigma personal para entender el proceso tecnológico del desarrollo del conocimiento moderno y su impacto en la sociedad.
O livro apresenta uma revisão completa da teoria, metodologia e desenvolvimento dos sistemas de modelagem de sistemas, incluindo suas propriedades, comportamentos e dinâmicas. Também são abordados os desafios e as possibilidades de modelagem e gerenciamento desses sistemas, incluindo os seus potenciais riscos e vulnerabilidades. O livro começa discutindo a importância de compreender a evolução da tecnologia e como ele moldou nosso mundo e sociedade hoje. Depois, aprofundou-se no conceito de paradigmas individuais e na forma como eles podem ser usados para a percepção do processo tecnológico de desenvolvimento do conhecimento moderno como a base da sobrevivência humana e da união das pessoas num estado em guerra. O autor afirma que os paradigmas pessoais são necessários para compreender a complexidade de sistemas interligados e interdependentes e desenvolver estratégias eficazes de gestão. Em seguida, o livro aborda várias abordagens para modelar e gerenciar sistemas complexos interdependentes, incluindo dinâmicas de sistemas, análises de rede e simulações baseadas em agentes. Ele também discute problemas de modelagem e gerenciamento desses sistemas, como o trabalho com não-linearidade, incerteza e loop de feedback. O autor ressalta a necessidade de uma abordagem integrada que leve em conta os aspectos sociais, econômicos e ambientais destes sistemas. A conclusão do livro enfatiza a importância de desenvolver um paradigma pessoal para compreender o processo tecnológico de desenvolvimento do conhecimento moderno e seus efeitos na sociedade.
Il libro fornisce una panoramica completa della teoria, della metodologia e dell'evoluzione dei sistemi di modellazione, incluse le loro proprietà, comportamenti e dinamiche. Vengono inoltre esaminati i problemi e le possibilità di simulazione e gestione di questi sistemi, inclusi i rischi potenziali e le vulnerabilità. Il libro inizia discutendo l'importanza di comprendere l'evoluzione della tecnologia e come ha formato il nostro mondo e la nostra società oggi. Poi si approfondisce nel concetto di paradigmi personali e nel modo in cui possono essere utilizzati per percepire il processo tecnologico dello sviluppo della conoscenza moderna come base per la sopravvivenza dell'umanità e per unire le persone in uno stato in guerra. L'autore sostiene che i paradigmi personali sono necessari per comprendere la complessità dei sistemi interconnessi e interdipendenti e per sviluppare strategie di gestione efficaci. Il libro descrive poi diversi approcci per la modellazione e la gestione di sistemi complessi e interdipendenti, tra cui l'utilizzo di dinamiche di sistema, analisi di rete e simulazioni basate su agenti. tratta anche di problemi relativi alla modellazione e alla gestione di questi sistemi, quali la non linearità, l'incertezza e i loop di feedback. L'autore sottolinea la necessità di un approccio integrato che tenga conto degli aspetti sociali, economici e ambientali di questi sistemi. In conclusione, il libro sottolinea l'importanza di sviluppare un paradigma personale per comprendere il processo tecnologico di sviluppo della conoscenza moderna e il suo impatto sulla società.
Das Buch bietet einen umfassenden Überblick über die Theorie, Methodik und Entwicklung von Systemsimulationssystemen einschließlich ihrer Eigenschaften, Verhaltensweisen und Dynamiken. Die Herausforderungen und Möglichkeiten der Modellierung und Verwaltung dieser Systeme, einschließlich ihrer potenziellen Risiken und Schwachstellen, werden ebenfalls untersucht. Das Buch beginnt mit einer Diskussion über die Bedeutung des Verständnisses des technologischen Evolutionsprozesses und wie er unsere Welt und Gesellschaft heute geprägt hat. Es geht dann tiefer in das Konzept der persönlichen Paradigmen und wie sie verwendet werden können, um den technologischen Prozess der Entwicklung des modernen Wissens als Grundlage für das Überleben der Menschheit und die Vereinigung der Menschen in einem kriegführenden Staat wahrzunehmen. Der Autor argumentiert, dass persönliche Paradigmen notwendig sind, um die Komplexität von miteinander verbundenen und voneinander abhängigen Systemsystemen zu verstehen und effektive Strategien für deren Management zu entwickeln. Das Buch untersucht dann verschiedene Ansätze zur Modellierung und Steuerung von voneinander abhängigen komplexen Systemsystemen, einschließlich der Verwendung von Systemdynamik, Netzwerkanalyse und agentenbasierter Modellierung. Es werden auch Probleme der Modellierung und Steuerung dieser Systeme wie der Umgang mit Nichtlinearität, Unsicherheit und Rückkopplungsschleifen diskutiert. Der Autor betont die Notwendigkeit eines integrierten Ansatzes, der die sozialen, wirtschaftlichen und ökologischen Aspekte dieser Systeme berücksichtigt. Abschließend betont das Buch die Bedeutung der Entwicklung eines persönlichen Paradigmas für das Verständnis des technologischen Prozesses der Entwicklung des modernen Wissens und seiner Auswirkungen auf die Gesellschaft.
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Kitap, sistem modelleme sistemlerinin teorisi, metodolojisi ve gelişimi ile özellikleri, davranışları ve dinamikleri hakkında kapsamlı bir genel bakış sunmaktadır. Potansiyel riskleri ve güvenlik açıkları da dahil olmak üzere bu sistemleri modelleme ve yönetme zorlukları ve fırsatları da ele alınmaktadır. Kitap, teknolojinin evrimini anlamanın önemini ve bugün dünyamızı ve toplumumuzu nasıl şekillendirdiğini tartışarak başlıyor. Daha sonra kişisel paradigmalar kavramını ve modern bilginin gelişiminin teknolojik sürecini insanlığın hayatta kalmasının ve insanların savaşan bir durumda birleşmesinin temeli olarak algılamak için nasıl kullanılabileceğini araştırıyor. Yazar, birbirine bağlı ve birbirine bağlı sistemlerin karmaşıklığını anlamak ve bunları yönetmek için etkili stratejiler geliştirmek için kişisel paradigmaların gerekli olduğunu savunuyor. Kitap daha sonra, sistem dinamiklerinin kullanımı, ağ analizi ve ajan tabanlı modelleme dahil olmak üzere birbirine bağlı karmaşık sistem sistemlerinin modellenmesi ve yönetilmesi için çeşitli yaklaşımlara bakmaktadır. Ayrıca, doğrusal olmayanlık, belirsizlik ve geri bildirim döngüleriyle uğraşmak gibi bu sistemleri modelleme ve kontrol etme zorluklarını tartışır. Yazar, bu sistemlerin sosyal, ekonomik ve çevresel yönlerini dikkate alan entegre bir yaklaşıma duyulan ihtiyacı vurgulamaktadır. Sonuç olarak, kitap, modern bilginin gelişiminin teknolojik sürecini ve toplum üzerindeki etkisini anlamak için kişisel bir paradigma geliştirmenin önemini vurgulamaktadır.
يقدم الكتاب لمحة عامة شاملة عن نظرية ومنهجية وتطوير أنظمة نمذجة النظم، بما في ذلك خصائصها وسلوكها وديناميكياتها. كما يجري التصدي للتحديات والفرص المتعلقة بنمذجة وإدارة هذه النظم، بما في ذلك المخاطر وأوجه الضعف المحتملة. يبدأ الكتاب بمناقشة أهمية فهم تطور التكنولوجيا وكيف شكلت عالمنا ومجتمعنا اليوم. ثم يتعمق في مفهوم النماذج الشخصية وكيف يمكن استخدامها لإدراك العملية التكنولوجية لتطوير المعرفة الحديثة كأساس لبقاء البشرية وتوحيد الناس في دولة متحاربة. ويدفع المؤلف بأن النماذج الشخصية ضرورية لفهم مدى تعقيد نظم النظم المترابطة والمترابطة ووضع استراتيجيات فعالة لإدارتها. ثم يبحث الكتاب في مناهج مختلفة لنمذجة وإدارة الأنظمة المعقدة المترابطة، بما في ذلك استخدام ديناميكيات النظام وتحليل الشبكة والنمذجة القائمة على الوكيل. كما يناقش تحديات النمذجة والتحكم في هذه الأنظمة، مثل التعامل مع عدم الخطورة وعدم اليقين وحلقات التغذية الراجعة. ويشدد المؤلف على ضرورة اتباع نهج متكامل يراعي الجوانب الاجتماعية والاقتصادية والبيئية لهذه النظم. في الختام، يؤكد الكتاب على أهمية وضع نموذج شخصي لفهم العملية التكنولوجية لتطوير المعرفة الحديثة وتأثيرها على المجتمع.

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